Supply of Petroleum Fuels in the United States and Petroleum Fuels in Internal Combustion Engines

The most notable change in the supply of petroleum fuels for the United States is the drastic growth in domestic production of both natural gas and crude oil. The development of production in tight formations, or shale formations (particularly the now well-known Marcellus Shale in the Northeastern United States) combined with the technological advances (hydraulic fracturing and directional drilling), has had far-reaching effects, including decreased both dependency on and imports from other countries. The largest change is from Africa, with imports from that region decreasing by 90% from 2010 to 2014. For comparison, 2008 tight oil production accounted for only 12% of US production, while in 2012 the number rose to 35%. By 2019, we can expect half of US oil production to be from tight oil formations. This increased domestic production has also reduced costs, allowed prices to decrease, and making natural gas a viable and inexpensive alternative to coal in the generation of electricity. While increased use of natural gas in the electricity generation sector is partially environmental policy-driven, much of this growth can be attributed to the mechanics of a price competitive market. This change is beneficial, as when comparing these two sources of energy, combustion of natural gas produces far less carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and sulfur emissions than coal. Natural gas also does not contain harmful particulate matter such as mercury. Furthermore, there have also been advances in other renewable sources of energy including wind and solar power. As these sources become more competitive as costs decrease, we can expect renewable electricity generation to account for 16% of total electricity generation in the United States by 2040.

There have been many positive changes regarding the environmental concerns from combustion of petroleum fuels in internal combustion engines. Though the total miles driven and vehicles used have increased (total vehicle miles traveled increasing by 0.9% each year), it has been more than offset by the increased fuel efficiency of engines. Strict regulations and standards set in place have forced manufacturers to develop better and cleaner vehicles. The EIA website states that light-duty vehicle fuel efficiency has increased by nearly 2% each year, and can be expected to reach 37.2 miles per gallon by 2040 from 21.5 mpg in 2012. Additionally, the entire nation has been slowly and gradually moving towards diesel fuels, biofuels, hybrid, and completely electric cars (most notably Tesla, with massive growth in recent years). Overall, I believe that the United States is moving in the right direction with regards to environmental policy and sustainability. However, this is a global issue and countries such as China and India must also follow suit (though India’s new prime minister has stated that the entire country will be moving towards solar powered homes, hoping that each home is powered by the year 2019).

http://ebf301.dutton.psu.edu/2014/05/25/supply-of-petroleum-fuels-in-the-united-states-and-petroleum-fuels-in-internal-combustion-engines/

Supply of petroleum fuels by Russell Hedrick

Oil production in the United States is a very important industry. The demand for oil for power production as well as transportation is a driving factor for the amount of oil produced. Approximately 50% of all oil production goes towards transportation. In the past few decades oil production has gone through many ups and downs. The fear of a dwindling supply as well as when the oil production will peak has led to many conflicts all over the world. This has been especially true in the area labeled as the Middle East.

Oil production has been increasing greatly over the past few decades. This has been even more prevalent over the last few years. This has been especially true over the past few years in field production in the United States. The annual field production went from 6,783 thousand barrels of oil per day in 2008 to 10,000 thousand barrels of oil per day in 2013. This is very good news from an economic and political stand point but may not be good from an environmental standpoint. This increase in domestic production has led to a decrease in the imports of oil as well as increase in exports. This is a good step in the right direction of becoming a more energy independent country.

In 2008 the United States imported 12,915 thousand of barrels of oil per day. That is almost twice the amount that was produced domestically. Also in 2008 we exported roughly 1,802 thousand of barrels of oil per day. The reason we exported oil, even though we are importing more then we are producing, is because there are other markets around the world where it could be sold at higher prices. The number of imports dramatically changed from 2008 to 2013. In 2013 the United States imported 9,794 thousand barrels of oil per day. That is roughly a 32 percent decrease in total imports per day. Also in 2013 the United States exported roughly 3,594 thousand of barrels of oil per day. This is roughly a 200 percent increase over the number of exports in 2008.

This is a pretty drastic increase in just five years. These increases in field production and exports are due to an increase in oil wells discovered and utilized, although this could have a negative impact on the environment. The more oil wells that are being pump the more potential there is for accidents. This can be seen in the more recent disaster of the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. This oil spill devastated the region and the effects of it still can be felt today.

The decrease in imports also has a positive environmental impact here in the United States. Imports from the Middle East as well as Mexico are more sour crude, meaning there sulfur content can higher. There sulfur content is roughly 3% more then WTI and LLC sweet crude here in the United States. The higher the sulfur content the more refining and distillation that is required to meet the standards set forth. Less importing of these sour crudes is a good thing for the environment and oil refining here in the United States.

The refining process is crucial for production of gasoline for internal combustion engines. 50 percent of crude oil production goes towards producing gasoline. A steady supply needs to be maintained so there are no surpluses or shortages in the supply chain.

References:
1. http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=7110
2. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_sum_snd_d_nus_mbblpd_a_cur.htm

Supply of Petroleum Fuels

Michael H Bufalini, May 1st, 2014

The US Energy Information Association is the most notable source for our countries energy supply and demand. Using the most recent data of supply and disposition the determination of our major fuel sources and import and export business can be analyzed. The Petroleum and Other Liquids data sheet illustrates the break down how the produced crude oil and petroleum products are used for energy consumption per thousand barrels of distillate liquid.

According to the supply data the US produces approximately 11,000 barrels of crude oil and petroleum products per day while importing 9,240 barrels per day. This data table also involves the net production based on these two values while subtracting the production from renewable fuel sources and oxygenate plant production such as Fuel Ethanol. The production value is 75% crude oil production with the other 25% being natural gas liquids and liquefied refinery gases. The crude oil production is expected to have a higher value because it supplies the majority of the vehicles on the road with our combustible fuel, gasoline. Although not a major contribution, natural gas still holds a high percentage because of the growing use of electricity generation, some use for transportation and in home heating.

The finished petroleum use about 50% of the products for the internal combustion engine in vehicles around the country. Another large percent of the finished petroleum products are used for distillate oils. Approximately 4,800 barrels per day are produced of distillate fuel oils for the use of diesel fuel, domestic heating, and in some cases outdoor portable stoves and heaters.

While we are importing 9,240 barrels a day of crude and petroleum we are also exporting about 40% of that amount of the same products. The majority of the US export business is finished petroleum products in the distillate fuel oil category. This is an expected leader of export because outside of the United States, countries use larger transportation methods and more vehicles run on diesel fuel. The largest distillate fuel export is also 15ppm sulfur content or lower which shows a greater reduction of harmful SOx emissions.  Petroleum Coke is also a high exported fuel source of the finished petroleum products. This is most likely used for a source of fuel for other countries power plants.

The refining process follows regulations with how much a certain fuel needs to be refined for permissible amounts of emissions. Certain fuels need more refining to reduce the carbon, sulfur, and nitrogen emissions. The majority of our distillate fuel oil is refined to be under 15ppm of sulfur and our gasoline is blended with additives such as ethanol and other oxygenates to boost octane and meet air quality requirements. With ethanol being in the fuel it ensures higher percentage of carbon dioxide in the emissions rather than carbon monoxide. Ethanol is being produced by hydrolysis from ethylene, which is manufactured in cracker plants from natural gas liquids.

The Economics of Crude Oil

Week 1 Blog Post:

Blog 1: Please go to the eia.gov website(link is external) and find the most recent data about the supply of petroleum fuels. Once you have a good understanding of the data, write a blog post to review the most recent supply of petroleum fuels from the data given at eia.gov and comment on how petroleum refining addresses environmental concerns from combustion of petroleum fuels in internal combustion engines. Your post should be 1-2 pages long or between 500-600 words.


 

As our nation’s population increases so does our demand for energy. In the U.S. with petroleum currently being used as the number one source for energy generation, it is in very high demand. The petroleum field is growing which can have both positive and negative effects. It creates jobs and lowers (even though it isn’t doing so much currently) the price of gasoline, which is our nations #1 consumed bi-product of crude oil. The number of barrels produced per day is consistently growing. It is currently at its highest peak since back in October of 1973. Also with a higher production of crude oil we are also increasing our exports which is good for our economy. However, it is not so good in the aspect of its rising price and also harmful emissions and bi-products.

From eia.gov’s most recent spreadsheet of supply and disposition based off of March 2014, the U.S. is currently producing on average 18,526 thousand barrels a day of crude oil and petroleum products. 3,858 of which are exports being almost 21% of our overall produced in the field. There is also 2,378 thousand barrels a day of NGPL’s and LPG’s produced with only 415 (17%) being exports. It should be noticed too however that we are currently importing roughly 50% of what we are producing. In my own opinion, I believe that we should take the money that we are spending on imports and use it to create renewable power plants. Slowly cut it back until our imports hit zero. Purchasing sources of energy from other countries is doing nothing but hurting our nation’s economy by putting us further into debt. We can fully supply our nation’s energy from within our own borders with the technology that has come about.

I did see however, that crude oils have different quality characteristics. Dependent upon where they come from the crude oils have different density (API gravity) and sulfur contents, which range from about 0-3.5%. Density ranges from light to heavy and sulfur content ranges from sweet to sour. Light and sweet crude oils are priced higher than heavy and sour crude oils. This is because both gasoline and diesel fuel, which are two of the primary bi-products, are more easily refined from light and sweet crude. It appears that the best quality crude oil comes from Algeria and Malaysia.  Maybe this explains why we import crude oil, because we are importing a more desirable crude than what we are exporting.

In the internal combustion engines petroleum refining addresses environmental concerns because the more and more it gets refined, the less harmful to the environment it becomes. It contains fewer C-C bonds and becomes easier to break apart or even combust. Because of this, these fuel sources when burned will have a fewer amount of emissions that could possibly harm the environment.

Info from: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_sum_snd_d_nus_mbblpd_m_cur.htm

http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=7110

Major Products of a Barrel of Crude Oil and Environmental Concerns Facing Refineries

According to the EIA.gov website, the total weekly product of oil supplied was used to create seven major products. ~49% of the 18,855 thousand barrels of crude oil supplied on the 16th of May 2014 was used to make motor gasoline. This is by far the most produced product from crude oil. 8% of the supplied crude oil on this day was used to make jet fuel. 20% was used to make diesel fuel.

Crude oil inherently contains toxic compounds which must be removed in the refining process to meet safe standards when burned. Benzene, sulfur, and organometallics are some of these compounds. Because benzene is a carcinogen, only a limited amount can be found in gasoline or fuel oil.  Heavy crude oils can contain organometallic compounds like nickel and vanadium. These are toxic and corrosive in nature and are removed in the refinery. Environmental standards for sulfur requires gasoline, jet fuel, diesel, and fuel oil to be limited in the refinery.

Importance of Environmental Impacts of the Refining Process

The process of oil refining is a way to improve the overall value of the petroleum. It is done in many ways as alluded to in the lesson. The overall objective is, “to add value to a crude oil feed through production of marketable fuels and materials at the lowest possible cost, in accordance with product specifications and environmental regulations.”

One of the many claims to fame of the process is the production of high-performance fuels for internal combustion engines. The process also addresses the environmental concerns of the emissions produced in the combustion of theses fuels in such engines. This will be the topic of this blog post.

In reading the most recent data provided by the environmental protection agency for the week ending May, 16 2014, the United States crude oil refinery inputs were approximately 15.9 million barrels per day. The refineries operated at 88.7% capacity, with gasoline production coming out to 9.6 million barrels per day. As for the products supplied, the last four week period saw an average of 18.9 million barrels per day. Of the 18.9 million barrels, gasoline products were responsible for 8.9 million barrels. The number of gasoline products supplied is up 5.3% from last this time last year. This type of an increase is a direct correlation of the importance of oil refining for the gasoline provided for internal combustion engines.

The refining process uses many tools to improve on the environmental emissions produced by the gasoline burned in an internal combustion engine. The government has set strict and imperative environmental regulations on the oil these processes produce which causes the importance of improving these stages of utmost importance to oil companies.

During the refining process, the petroleum undergoes many stages to improve the emission contents of such liquid. The separation process separates the physical constituents within the oil, removing wax, solids and other impurities. While the conversion process is more for the purpose of adjusting the chemical composition, the finishing process plays a large role in the environmental improvement as well. It is here that hydro treating takes place with the intent to remove the main culprits of pollution from emissions, and that is the sulfur and nitrogen components of the oil. As we know, these elements are what create NOx and SOx, both of which are strictly controlled in government regulations.

These processes described above will become more and more imperative to be improved as the demand for high performance fuels increases along with the number of cars that are on the road. As the weather gets warmer in these coming months, we can also expect to see a rise in cars on the roads. This increase in travel is only adding to the need that is always prevalent in the oil refining industry. As the US looks to become an exporter of oil rather than its norm of being an importer the need to produce a quality oil becomes even more important with competing markets.

References:

  1. Lesson 1: Introduction to Petroleum Refining and Crude Oil Composition: https://cms.psu.edu/section/content/default.asp?WCI=pgDisplay&WCU=CRSCNT&ENTRY_ID=F20C6357261A4AE2A750C141B721E8C1
  2. This Week in Petrolium: http://www.eia.gov/oog/info/twip/twip.asp
  3. http://www.eia.gov/oog/info/twip/twip_gasoline.html
  4. Weekly Petroleum Status Report Highlights: http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/

Petroleum Refining in the United States and its Economical and Environmental Concerns

Ever since the first oil well was drilled in 1859, there has been an increased demand in petroleum in the United States.1 This is because petroleum was found to have many different uses since it could have different properties depending on what temperatures the petroleum was distilled at. In order to do this process, oil refineries were built in order to get useful products while removing the harmful side products of the process. The first refinery in the United States was opened in 1861.1 This shows that people saw the importance of processing the petroleum and moved quickly to build a refinery to do so. With the invention of the internal combustion engine the demand for gasoline has grown dramatically over the years.

In 2013 the United States had a total oil production of 12.316 million barrels.2 Even though this is a large amount that was produced, it was still less than the consumption of 18.49 million barrels in 2013.2 Therefore the United States needed to import oil in order to meet this demand. Data from 2012 shows that approximately 40% of the petroleum consumed was from exports.3 Surprisingly a little over 50% of the imports came from the Western Hemisphere with Canada being the largest crude oil supplier to the United States.3 This shows that there is less of a demand in the political unrest in the Middle Eastern region. Since 2005 the demand for imported oil has declined. After the recession in 2008 the consumption of oil was lesser and there was a focus on increasing the efficiency as well as the increase in the use of biofuels such as ethanol and biodiesel.3 The discovery of the Marcellus and Utica Shale formations in Pennsylvania has led to the finding of tight oil that adds to the total oil reserves in the United States, which makes it possible for the United States to import less.6

In 2012 37% of energy in the United States came from the consumption of petroleum.4 Even though renewable fuels and natural gas are having a greater impact, petroleum is still the largest energy source. This means that oil refineries have a large job to fulfill. The refineries have the capacity to process large amounts of crude oil, but also must take into consideration the environmental impact that the refineries have. Refineries consume a large amount themselves as they are distilling the crude oil to form the final products. There are restrictions on the CO2 emissions as well as on the hazardous byproducts of the process. When petroleum products are burned in an internal combustion engine several harmful products are created. These include carbon dioxide, which is a greenhouse gas, carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, which contributes to acid rain, nitrogen oxides, volatile organic compounds, and particulate matter.5 All of these negatively impact the environment and human health. Therefore the government strictly enforcing regulations on refineries and how they process the crude oil in order to limit the harmful byproducts. It does not mean there will be a large decrease in the consumption of petroleum fuels in internal combustion engines, but that refineries will be forces to formulate the fuels in a way that limit the environmental and health concerns.

References

1.)    Gary, James H., Handwerk, Glenn E., Kaiser, Mark J. Petroleum Refining Technology and Economics. Taylor and Francis Group. Florida. 2007. Print.

2.)    http://www.eia.gov/countries/country-data.cfm?fips=US

3.)    http://www.eia.gov/energy_in_brief/article/foreign_oil_dependence.cfm

4.)    http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/er/early_fuel.cfm

5.)    http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/index.cfm?page=oil_environment

6.)    http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=847&t=6

 

 

The Current Supply of Petroleum Fuels and their Environmental Effects

In finding the required data to complete this assignment, the U.S. Energy Information Administration website was used. From the homepage I used the Sources and Uses dropdown menu to find the “Weekly Petroleum Status Report” (on the right hand side of the dropdown menu) which gave data up to the middle of May. This data was logged for various topics such as weekly U.S. field production, imports, exports, U.S. refiner and blender net production, and the product supplied for a small number of refinery products.

When beginning to look at the numbers, it can be seen that there is a total input of crude oil to U.S. refineries of 15,949 thousand barrels per day (KBPD), the majority of which is actually produced domestically (8,434 KBPD versus 6,469 KBPD imported)1. This is somewhat surprising at first; however if the table is followed backward we can see that there has been a 14% increase in U.S. production and a 5.3% drop in imports since last year1. What can be drawn from this is that America, while still being heavily reliant on oil, is currently becoming slightly less dependent on foreign oil. With this being said, the U.S. is still importing over 4,500 KBPD from Canada, Saudi Arabia, and Mexico alone2. On top of the increase in domestic fuel production there has also been an increase in crude oil exported from the U.S. As of May 16th America exported 71 KBPD which is up from 48 KBPD last year at this time1.

Taking a step backward for a moment, it might beneficial to look in to not just the overall numbers but also the values of specific refinery products such as gasoline, kerosene, and distillate fuel oils. These three products are shown to be the largest components of refinery production currently because they are used as fuels in transportation methods3. When I was investigating these numbers I realized these were the stocks or supplies of each type of fuel in millions of barrels. So as of mid May the U.S. had a stock of 213 million barrels of gasoline, 39 million barrels of kerosene, and 116 million barrels of distillate fuel oil3. Although this seems like a large amount of each, to put things in perspective, America’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve can hold up to 727 million barrels of oil so these values are not all that large4. Once again looking at the fluctuations of these stocks it can be seen that gasoline and distillate fuel oil have actually decreased since this time last year while kerosene increased. There are several factors that could lead to these decreases however I believe it could be partly due to Americans driving less as gasoline prices rise5. With fewer miles being driven there may be less need to keep a large amounts of gasoline or distillate fuel oil stored up in case of emergency.

In the refining of crude oil there are several processes done to improve the quality of the oil products so that they meet environmental specifications set by the state and federal government. Refineries must reduce or remove the amount of nitrogen, sulfur, and organometallic compounds in the crude oil to acceptable levels. For instance, nitrogen and sulfur content can be reduced through the use of hydrotreating or hydrodesulfurization which cuts down on NOx and SOx emissions during combustion. Organometallics include elements like nickel, vanadium, and copper must also be taken out due to their highly corrosive and toxic natures.

References:

  1. “Weekly Petroleum Status Report.” U.S. Energy Information Administration . N.p., n.d. Web. 25 May 2014. <http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/table1.pdf>.
  2. “Weekly Petroleum Status Report.” U.S. Energy Information Administration. N.p., n.d. Web. 25 May 2014. <http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/table8.pdf>.
  3. “Weekly Petroleum Status Report.” U.S. Energy Information Administration . N.p., n.d. Web. 25 May 2014. <http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/table4.pdf>.
  4. “Strategic Petroleum Reserve.” ENERGY.GOV. N.p., n.d. Web. 25 May 2014. <http://energy.gov/fe/services/petroleum-reserves/strategic-petroleum-reservev>.
  5. “U.S. Energy Information Administration – EIA – Independent Statistics and Analysis.” Table 5.24 Retail Motor Gasoline and On-Highway Diesel Fuel Prices, 1949-2011 (Dollars per Gallon). N.p., n.d. Web. 25 May 2014. <http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/annual/showtext.cfm?t=ptb0524>.

The U.S Dependency on Foreign Oil and the Environmental Impacts from Petroleum Refining

Since the drilling of the first petroleum well in Titusville, Pa, the United States has become increasing more dependent on the “liquid gold”. In order to quench the appetite for the gasoline and diesel demand of internal combustion engine use, a refinery had to be built.[1] The purpose of these refineries are to increase the yield of desired products, while removing harmful compounds that can affect the environment during the combustion process. In order to understand the importance of refineries, this entry will summarize the dependency of foreign crude imports, the compositions of a barrel of crude oil, and finally the methods used in a refinery process/ their purposes.

In 2013 the United States consumed roughly 6.89 billion barrels of refined crude oil products.[2] Of these 6.89 billion barrels of crude oil, the majority of the supply did not come from the foreign imports. This was shocking because traditionally the United States imported roughly 60% of its demand from foreign countries.1 As of 2012, the United States only relied on foreign sources for 40% of its total crude consumption.[3] The reason for this drastic change could be due to many reasons but, to me, the biggest catalyst for this change was the United States economic recession in 2008. The price per barrel of crude oil was steady trending upward, but in 2008 a barrel of crude drastically rose from $66.52 to $94.04.[4] This large increase of price may have been a driver that forced the United States to steer away from foreign imports and produce more domestic oil/ research alternative fuels such as natural gas.

The term “Barrel” in the petroleum field refers to a drum that contains 42 gallons of crude oil.[5] Within that crude oil there are multiple components that can be extracted after the refining process. A single barrel of crude can contain roughly 50% gasoline, 15% distillate fuel oil (diesel fuel and heating oil), 12% jet fuel, and trace amounts of other compounds.[5] Based on the demand of a specific type of fuel a refinery will be able to tailor its production to accommodate for the specific fuel need.

Up until the establishment of the first U.S oil refinery, built in 1861, petroleum products weren’t so easily separated into a desired fuel.[1] In order to grasp the importance of refining it is necessary to understand the five basic steps of the refining process and ultimately the impact certain steps have on the environment after the fuel is combusted. The five steps in the refining process are distillation, conversion processing, treatment, blending, and compound extraction from other refining options. Distillation is the process that separates fuels based off of their boiling point and compound sizes; Conversion processing is used to manipulate chemical structures to form different fuels from thermal cracking, catalytic cracking, and other methods; Treatment processing is used to remove any undesired compounds and chemicals from the fuels; Blending allows for the fuel to be improved for performance and temperature conditions with the introduction of additives; and compound extraction processing allows for the recovery of certain compounds and the treatment of various refinery fluids. Of the five processes, the treatment process of the crude has the most environmental impact. During this process, the fuels undergo procedures to remove wax, sulfur, disulfides, and coke.[1] The removal of these compounds allow for there to be a reduced production of harmful emissions such as carbon monoxide and sulfur dioxide during the combustion process. For example, currently 60% of the diesel produced is of low sulfur content (15 ppm).[1]

1. Gary, J. H., & Handwerk, G. E. (2007). Petroleum refining: technology and economics. New York: M. Dekker.
2. How much oil is consumed by the United States?. (n.d.). . Retrieved May 14, 0025, from www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=33&t=6
3. How dependent is the United States on foreign oil?. (n.d.). . Retrieved May 14, 0025, from www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=32&t=6
4. U.S crude oil first purchase price. (n.d.). . Retrieved May 14, 0025, from www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=f000000__3&f=a
5. What does one barrel of crude oil make?. (n.d.). . Retrieved May 14, 0025, from http://www.californiagasprices.com/crude_products.aspx

The Diesel Engine’s Shining Moment!

Fig 1.1 Weekly U.S. Refiner Net ProductionFig. 1 Finished Motor Gasoline does not include blending components

The EIA provides a plethora of data on U.S. petroleum fuels production. The “Weekly U.S. Refiner Net Production” graph (Fig. 1) illustrates the comprehensive “Weekly Petroleum Status Report”. The “WPSR Highlights” provide a condensed sketch of the report. During the week ending May 16, 2014, U.S. refineries operated at 88.7% capacity, consuming 15.9 million barrels of crude oil per day and producing 9.6 million barrels of gasoline and 5.0 milion barrels of distillate fuel oil. The U.S. imported 6.5 million barrels per day as well as over 1.1 million barrels of finished gasoline, gasoline blending components, and distillate fuel. Given that roughly 60% of a barrel of crude oil is used to produce gasoline, diesel fuel, and heating oil, and thus that imports account for 3.5 times that of finished imports, it is safe to say that U.S. refineries are essential components in the U.S. As my classmate readily points out, the U.S. is bridging the gap between imports and exports. However, it is unclear whether the domestic production is sustainable. As tight oil extraction continues, the world is only one subsea engineering feat away from revitalizing easy oil.

Along with weekly reviews, the EIA provides quarterly forecasts of the petroleum fuels market. As Memorial Day approaches and summer vacations commence, the EIA predicts the price of gasoline to increase slightly above the prices from this time last year before dipping below last year’s numbers for the remainder of the year. This trend correlates to crude oil prices, and ultimately results from an expected overproduction from the non-OPEC supply, especially in North America.

The most notable trend in Fig. 1 is noted in the Annual Energy Outlook 2014: gasoline production is declining while distillate fuel production increases. The EIA anticipates more gasoline-producing refineries to either convert to distillates or increase capacity to meet the market demand.

U.S. crude oil stocks are very high compared to the 5-year average. The distillate fuel stock is below average which might also imply a regression to the mean with increased imports and domestic refinery capacity.

Fig 1.2 Distillate Fuel Oil Imports ExportsFig. 2 Distillate fuel oil includes No. 1, No. 2, and No. 4 distillate

Notably, the conflict in Crimea may not have noticeably impacted the recent refinery outputs, but it may account for the decline in U.S. exports of distillate fuel oil. While distillate fuel oil consists of many uses, from space heating to diesel engines, “Distillate Fuel Oil Imports and Exports” (Fig. 2) displays a sharp decrease in exports and imports after the week of Russia’s occupation of Crimea. Despite this period of March, April, and May being termed the refinery maintenance season, this span of time includes a critical period of market uncertainty. Crimea already faces fuel shortages. Germany could face price surges, as pressure increases to diversify crude oil and natural gas imports.

The refinery exemplifies the peak of fuel chemistry application, with each refinery having unique capacity, inputs, and products. The environmental concerns posed by greenhouse gas emissions from internal combustion engines is mitigated within the refining process. A baghouse is used to capture particulate matter. Sulfur content may be removed through hydrodesulfurization or hydrotreating. Volatile metallic compounds are extracted by precipitation using a solvent such as propane. All of these processes are either energy-intensive and/or materials intensive, and would greatly benefit from regenerative solvents and materials.

References:

  1. Pricing Highlights: http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/marketing/monthly/pdf/hilites.pdf
  2. Supply Overview: http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/highlights.pdf
  3. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/18/world/europe/in-taking-crimea-putin-gains-a-sea-of-fuel-reserves.html?_r=0
  4. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/25/ukraine-crisis-crimea-energy-idUSL6N0NH4NR20140425
  5. http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/special/summer/2014_summer_fuels.pdf
  6. Supply Data: “blog 1 data.xls”
  7. Petroleum Refining